Jason Furman: optimistic on AI productivity, skeptical firms can profit from it

sebkrier · x · 2026-10-18

Economist Jason Furman argues AI valuations depend on two things working out: real productivity gains and companies actually profiting from AI. He is optimistic about the first but doubtful about the second.

Paradoxically, the better the technology gets, the more older, cheaper models will be "way more than good enough" — compressing firms' ability to charge premium prices for AI.

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