Anthropic staff's answers imply 17.1% GDP growth in 2030 vs FOMC's 2%

soumitrashukla9 · x · 2026-10-18

Economist Jason Furman added the FOMC to a chart of implied 2030 GDP growth: Anthropic staff's survey answers imply a median of 17.1%, while the Fed's Sept 2026 long-run projection sits at just 2.0% (range 1.7–2.5%). US adults median at 5.4% and site visitors at 12.5% — highlighting the huge gap between AI-insider expectations and mainstream economic forecasts.

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