AI ROI lag is normal: tech diffusion is gated by org redesign, so look at right-tail adopters
Afinetheorem · x · 2026-10-18
On the "where is the AI ROI" debate, Afinetheorem argues that diffusion of every new technology is slow due to organizational redesign constraints, slow information spread, and the need to invent complements. To predict future economy-wide ROI, he says, you should look at the right-tail ROI among organizations deeply adopting AI today, not the current average.
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