It Ain't AGI Until H100s Go for $30 an Hour
gmays · hn · 2026-10-16
A blog post proposes a contrarian AGI benchmark: skip capability debates and watch H100 rental prices — AGI arrives when H100s drop to $30/hour. The author argues market pricing is a more honest signal of AI's economic value: high GPU prices today show AI output can't yet cover compute costs, while a price collapse would mean AI genuinely substitutes human labor at scale. HN discussion debates compute supply/demand and this economic lens on AGI.
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