I had Claude design a stock strategy and backtested it on a 2-year holdout

QuantAscent · reddit · 2026-10-16

A user shares a full writeup of having Claude design a low-beta stock strategy targeting S&P 500-like risk-adjusted returns, then backtesting on a 2-year holdout. Claude impressed by voluntarily holding out data for an "honesty check," starting at 2016 to avoid survivorship bias, and dropping momentum when data contradicted it. It faltered by clinging to pre-chosen metrics whose IC was noise. Results: near-index risk-adjusted returns, notably smaller worst drawdown, slightly under the index on Sharpe. Conclusion: AI is useful for building the strategy-creation process, but requires strong human pushback. Full numbers on Substack, 75-minute uncut session on YouTube.

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