Prediction: Chinese frontier models could match GPT-6 by March 2027
teortaxesTex · x · 2026-10-16
quoting scaling01's forecast that Chinese labs — after a quiet stretch, and building on GLM-5.3 and Kimi-K3 — will ship >160 ECI models by year-end and GPT-6 Astra/Opus 5.5-level models between Feb and Nov 2027, teortaxesTex answers with a sharper date: March. The original thread also expects rogue agents and cyber incidents as capabilities cross that threshold, possibly visible as early as Q1 2027.
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