Why Aligning ASI Can't Be Normal Science: The One-Shot Argument
jd_pressman · x · 2026-10-16
jdpressman summarizes the argument: 'you only get one shot at aligning transformative ASI, therefore you cannot do normal science.' A model won't attempt takeover until it expects to succeed, so there's a discontinuity where studying models without the opportunity to take over tells you nothing about those that have it.
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