adam_karvonen revises robot mechanic odds to 10% in five years, citing possible ASI

adam_karvonen · x · 2026-10-15

Updating his earlier estimate in the car-mechanic automation thread, adamkarvonen now says he's at 2-5% within three years and 10% within five — mainly because ASI might solve everything five years out. He still views car mechanics as among the hardest jobs to automate due to dexterity, reliability demands, and improvisation.

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