XBow details AI exploit reliability: ~10% raw page-flip rate, 48 retries per attempt

moyix · x · 2026-10-15

moyix shared technical details behind XBow's AI-agent crashpad exploit: with retries built in, they don't have per-attempt success numbers; the raw page-flip transition succeeded only 10% of the time (10,175/100,000), but 48 tries per attempt made the exploit quite reliable. Restricting the goal to a single write gave the agent a clear objective that was easier to satisfy, and the existing WCP table base technique was sufficient to reach arbitrary code execution.

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