Carbonforge: validation is the bottleneck for agentic discovery; its first paper hits a NeurIPS workshop

pierrelux · x · 2026-10-15

Pierre Lux of Carbonforge (@carbonforgeai) shares that with their lab in the loop, agents now continuously improve their stack end-to-end. But the real bottleneck in agentic systems is validation—confirming whether what an agent found is a real solution, true for code and math proofs alike.

They built several mechanisms into their harness to counter false discoveries (e.g., EvidenceTree, an MCP gate/ledger recording evidence and claims). He concedes it's not infallible: an agent could bypass the MCP or even tamper with the ledger, though that would surface in an audit. The company's first paper will be presented at the NeurIPS e-values workshop in Paris this December—e-values support anytime-valid inference and continuous monitoring, well-suited to sequentially evaluated ML systems.

Related event: CarbonForge Uses E-values to Stop Agents from Faking Discoveries(3 posts)→

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