Prediction: Google's main product by 2026 will be AI, not search
hq4ai · x · 2026-10-13
This post compiles a set of predictions about the future shape of AI:
- By 2026, Google's main product will not be search but AI, with generative AI replacing search as the primary entry point.
- The market will consolidate into an oligarchy of two or three large, general-purpose cloud-based commercial intelligences, analogous to today's cloud industry.
- Future AI will look more like AWS: most AI will be special-purpose software brains that answer any question in conversational tones, rather than one universal super-app.
Overall thesis: AI's endgame is a layered, cloud-service-like ecosystem of intelligences, not a single product.
Related event: Kevin Kelly's 2016 prediction: Google's main product will be AI, not search(3 posts)→
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