4 sextillion transistors a year by 2026 — and it's still not enough

Darpinian · x · 2026-10-13

Darpinian quotes Azeem Azhar to make a striking point: imagine telling Bell Labs researchers that by 2026 humanity would manufacture about 4 sextillion (4×10²¹) transistors per year — and it still wouldn't be enough. The quip underscores how fast compute demand, driven largely by AI, keeps outpacing even exponential growth in chip production.

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