What's the strongest mechanistic case that next-token prediction plus RL yields AGI?

Repulsive_Twist_9221 · reddit · 2026-10-13

A Reddit discussion pushing back on the default assumption that AGI is on the way: the OP asks for the strongest mechanistic argument — grounded in causal mechanisms, computational learning theory, and information theory, not trend extrapolation — that next-token prediction plus reinforcement learning can produce open-ended general intelligence.

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