Paper: LLMs repeatedly hop between shallow heuristics and generalization during pre-training

thomasahle · x · 2026-10-12

In "Generalization Dynamics of LM Pre-Training", Jiaxin Wen, Zhengxuan Wu, Dawn Song and Lijie Chen show that LLMs don't stably retain reasoning during pre-training: they repeatedly and suddenly hop between shallow pattern-matching heuristics and generalizable computation, even when pre-training loss and downstream capability curves look stable.

Per the paper's figure, the authors distinguish three generalization dynamics types (frequent oscillation, sustained oscillation, sparse spikes), comparing large and small models against Chinchilla-optimal points: stable surface metrics don't imply the internal computation has converged to a generalizing solution.

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