AI researcher pegs his P(doom) at just 1e-5, calls himself an optimist

rsalakhu · x · 2026-10-10

Researcher rsalakhu asked X users for their P(doom) — the probability AI completely wipes out humanity — and offered his own: 1e-5. "I am an optimist," he wrote. A light but shareable data point in the ongoing doom-probability debate.

Related event: Researcher Claims P(doom) of Just 1e-5, Sparks Debate(2 posts)→

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