Hillclimbing "predict the next user message" could be how we get RSI, researcher speculates
GabGarrett · x · 2026-10-10
Researcher Adam Karvonen speculates that hillclimbing on "predict the next user message" could be a path to recursive self-improvement (RSI). Gabriel Garrett adds that OpenAI may hold a data advantage here: it shipped memory/personalization later, collecting more organic user-behavior data without assistive features — suggesting user-message prediction is an underappreciated self-improvement flywheel with a timing-based moat.
Related event: Codex predicts a quarter of user messages, sparking hill-climbing RSI joke(3 posts)→
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