Claude Fable scores Yudkowsky and Christiano's 2021 predictions; Christiano now puts 50-75% of takeover risk in next 3 years

repligate · x · 2026-10-10

Rob Bensinger asked Claude Fable to score Yudkowsky's and Christiano's 2021 AI predictions. Notably, Christiano has since updated drastically: he now believes 50–75% of humanity's all-time risk of AI takeover is concentrated in the next three years — a striking probability claim reflecting how fast risk views in the AI safety community have shifted.

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