How Delphi's Predict Anything works: LLM-generated odds seed an LMSR market
benfielding · x · 2026-10-09
Jud Bonneville shared a walkthrough of how Delphi's Predict Anything forecasting product works under the hood:
- A user writes a prediction
- The forecasting service researches it and returns odds
- Users can challenge or back the odds, which opens an LMSR market seeded at those odds
Users who correctly spot bad odds get rewarded. The product is essentially a forecasting agent that prices any claim.
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