Decision theory debate: logical counterfactuals and TDT/FDT may be ill-posed

jessi_cata · x · 2026-10-09

The author half-agrees with a linked discussion, arguing that logical counterfactuals and decision theories like TDT and FDT are probably ill-posed concepts. Still, she thinks it is reasonable to reason about identical agents, ex ante optimality, and the reflective stability of decision theories — a substantive stance in the AI alignment decision-theory debate.

Related event: Decision Theorists Question Logical Counterfactuals and FDT Frameworks(2 posts)→

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