Polymarket odds say AI won't crack major math conjectures in 2026

Polymarket · x · 2026-10-09

Polymarket launched a market on which math problems AI will solve by end of 2026, with $57K in volume. Odds give AI roughly a 22% chance on the Hadamard Matrix Conjecture, 21% on the Hodge Conjecture, 19% on Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer, and 19% on Ramsey Number R(5,5) — bettors overwhelmingly doubt a breakthrough.

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