Cascade model beats Toto 2.0 4M on TIME MASE/CRPS with 15.4% of the training tokens

const_reborn · x · 2026-10-08

Cascade claims its model outperforms Toto 2.0 4M on the TIME MASE and TIME CRPS time-series forecasting benchmarks, using only 15.4% as many training tokens, entirely synthetic miner-generated data, and a 58-day training run. The thread also breaks down what TIME MASE and CRPS measure and why they matter.

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