A hardware-bound argument against hard takeoff: AI capability tracks compute
oecolamp · x · 2026-10-07
oecolamp argues against 'hard takeoff' singularity claims: AI capability is mostly a function of hardware, so it can't improve exponentially without limit. In follow-ups he adds that real exponential trends look like stacked S-curves—still a takeoff, but slower and more manageable.
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