MMM optimizers only exploit: bandit-style exploration recovers lost revenue

twiecki · x · 2026-10-07

Pymc Labs argues that typical Marketing Mix Model (MMM) optimizers only exploit, so their channel response curves stop learning and revenue is left on the table.

Their fix: treat ad channels as bandit arms and add aimed exploration on top of pure optimization. In practice this surfaced an underrated channel and made more money than pure optimization alone.

Key takeaway: MMM optimization needs ongoing learning about channel curves, not just current-best budget allocation.

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