Experts weigh AI-enabled cyber risk: scaled CNE within a year, cryptoanalytic breakthroughs as phase change
teortaxesTex · x · 2026-10-07
Security researcher arthurctellis argues AI models today are mostly used for vuln research and boosting junior operators in clandestine CNE, that threat actors haven't yet updated mission/risk models for noisy CNE at scale (expected within a year), and that demonstrated cryptanalytic exploitation would be a potentially catastrophic phase change — though catastrophic cyber risk is weak today. teortaxesTex counters that taking critical systems hostage can be highly "remunerative", challenging the claim that cyberattacks offer limited payoff.
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