China shock study extension: manufacturing job losses kept deepening for a decade
ChenhaoTan · x · 2026-10-07
ChenhaoTan shares this week's living science update extending the China shock literature, tracking manufacturing jobs per 100 working-age adults. Key finding: in exposed regions, manufacturing job losses kept deepening for another decade after the shock ended, reaching the original paper's headline estimate around 2018 — and most of the gap remained in 2023. Average local wages recovered, but the manufacturing jobs never came back.
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