Study across 11 frontier LLMs finds psychometric self-reports predict behavior only selectively

AnimaAnandkumar · x · 2026-10-07

A NeurIPS 2026 paper by Rafal Kocielnik, Anima Anandkumar et al. asks whether low-cost psychometric self-reports can anticipate LLM behavior. Across 11 frontier LLMs and 4 behavioral tasks, self-report–behavior coherence exists but is selective: within a shared conversation, the Theory of Planned Behavior reaches human-level coherence while Big Five traits do not; across conversations, coherence survives only for training-anchored behaviors like implicit bias and collapses for context-driven behaviors like sycophancy. Prior reports of LLM self-report dissociation partly stem from weak measurement frameworks, not a true lack of coherence.

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