Model release gap fell from 70 days to 11 — but Gary Marcus's profit-skepticism call scores correct

GaryMarcus · x · 2026-10-05

Prediction tracker aipredictionx (RT'd by Gary Marcus) scores Marcus right: despite the frontier release gap shrinking from 70 days to 11, his prediction that AI model profits would stay modest or nonexistent ran its course correct. Shipping faster isn't earning more. Open bets: @edzitron's claim that OpenAI needs $400 billion resolves October 17; Burry's 'late-1999' thesis closes December 31.

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