Economists split on AI: 66% uncertain about its decade-ahead income impact
SpencrGreenberg · x · 2026-10-05
Another segment of Spencer Greenberg's economist-survey thread restates the AI question: in a 2023 survey, on whether AI would have a substantially bigger impact on US/Western European income growth over the next decade than the internet had in the prior two, 21% agreed, 13% disagreed, and 66% were uncertain. Context also notes economists were split on minimum wage effects (38% agree / 35% disagree / 26% uncertain).
The thread's overall point: expert opinion is frequently divided or uncertain across issues, undercutting its value as a forecasting tool.
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