Liquid AI's D1 classifier beats typesafeai's Jev in 9 of 12 forecasting categories

JosephJacks_ · x · 2026-10-02

In a benchmark based on Philip Tetlock's Good Judgment Project historical forecasting set, classifiers from typesafeai (Jev) and Liquid AI (D1) assigned probabilities to scenario outcomes, scored against actual results. Liquid AI's D1 won 9 of 12 categories. The author calls it encouraging for quant traders on prediction markets, while discouraging use for gambling.

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