davidad: Disassembling Mercury sans AI progress would take centuries, a bizarre counterfactual

davidad · x · 2026-10-02

Responding to an argument premised on "absent further AI progress," davidad argues the counterfactual is unrealistic: even without AI, remotely disassembling Mercury from Earth—after centuries of space infrastructure build-out—would take centuries in itself. Freezing AI progress as a constant systematically distorts long-term forecasts.

Related event: Researcher Estimates Dismantling Mercury Would Take Nearly 700 Years Even With a Billion Robots(3 posts)→

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