Eli Lifland: OpenAI's training pause likely isn't a substantial slowdown, compute shifts to experiments
eli_lifland · x · 2026-09-30
Forecaster Eli Lifland argues OpenAI's pause likely won't meaningfully slow progress: paused training compute probably redirects to experiments, with little impact on a months timescale. He expects public statements to oversell the slowdown while remaining technically true, against official claims that all training, eval, and tool-use inference of their most capable models are paused.
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