Musk Guesses China Solves Compute and Chip-Making Constraints in 2-3 Years

haider1 · x · 2026-09-27

Elon Musk offered a rough guess that China will solve its compute constraints, lithography, and chip-making in about 2-3 years. He added that Chinese AI models are outstanding and likely do the best in performance per unit of compute, given their limited compute.

Related event: Musk Predicts China to Solve Compute and Lithography Constraints in 2-3 Years(2 posts)→

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