Maximize intelligence per flop: decay adaptivity to trade for precision

willcb · x · 2026-09-26

Continuing the specialization argument from an efficiency angle: at scale you want the most intelligence per flop — astra-level performance at luna cost, but only for that specific task, trading away generality and out-of-distribution performance. The key is forming a prior about how much adaptivity a task will need over time, then decaying adaptivity in exchange for precision to minimize total regret.

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