Are We Overestimating AI's Short-Term Impact and Underestimating the Long Term?
EnvironmentalDay8864 · reddit · 2026-09-25
A Reddit discussion invokes Amara's Law—we overestimate technology's impact in the short run and underestimate it in the long run—arguing AI is a textbook case: breathless quarterly hype isn't materializing, yet slow, compounding changes over years may dwarf today's headlines. The author suggests watching quiet shifts in how people actually work instead of chasing daily news, and asks where we are on the hype curve.
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