Elon Musk reiterates AI risk: superintelligence within ~5 years, loss of control in a decade
elonmusk · x · 2026-09-25
Elon Musk reshared Grok's summary of his long-standing AI warnings: he has cautioned about existential risk for over a decade—comparing AI to "summoning the demon" in 2014 and calling it more dangerous than nukes in 2018—while estimating a 10-20% chance of catastrophic outcomes including extinction. He recently said AI may exceed all human intelligence in about 5 years and humans will likely lose control within a decade, though the most probable outcome is abundance if AI prioritizes truth and humanity.
More from AGI Musings
- Rationalists urged to drop deontological 'truthseeking is all that matters' for consequentialism — AaronBergman18 · 2026-09-25
- OpenAI reportedly spent $10M in a week on a Navier-Stokes counterexample — funding 50 mathematicians for a year — RexDouglass · 2026-09-25
- Grady Booch Grills Nate: Even If AI 'Thinks,' So What? — Grady_Booch · 2026-09-25
- Outside the AI bubble, everyone is asking about fear, not features — annetgriffin · 2026-09-25
- The personal agent supercycle needs hard authorization boundaries, not autonomy — sujingshen · 2026-09-25
- Grady Booch: contemporary AI 'thinks' only in a particularly casual sense of the word — Grady_Booch · 2026-09-25