Schmidhuber stands by 1970s prediction: AGI arrives within his lifetime
SchmidhuberAI · x · 2026-09-24
Replying in a discussion, Jürgen Schmidhuber reiterated his long-standing prediction: made in the 1970s, that AGI would arrive within his lifetime — "very soon from a cosmical perspective." He pointed to his 2014 "mother of all exponential timelines," starting from the Big Bang with milestone intervals shrinking toward imminent convergence, and referenced the nonlinear version in Section 20 of the same work to address comments about nonlinear timelines.
More from AGI Musings
- Autor's RCT: AI Boosts Patent Drafting Quality, But Junior Lawyers' Gains Bifurcate — danielrock · 2026-09-24
- Mila event: data centers to emit 189M tonnes CO2 in 2025, 2.5x Quebec's annual emissions — Mila_Quebec · 2026-09-24
- Value migrates from white-collar to blue-collar to human creativity as AI and robots advance — martyjbeard · 2026-09-24
- Rohit Krishnan: the left-right schism on AI is mostly apophenia, not substance — DavidSKrueger · 2026-09-24
- Weaviate Podcast: Persimmon uses real interaction data, not role-play, to model human behavior — CShorten30 · 2026-09-24
- AI research is slowing but its impact is accelerating, as one S-curve triggers another — pmddomingos · 2026-09-24