Polymarket puts 11% odds on AI bubble bursting in 2026, $2.9M wagered
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-24
Polymarket's "AI bubble burst by Dec 31, 2026" market has drawn $2.98M in volume, with Yes priced at just 11%; odds for June 30, 2027 stand at 21%.
Resolution requires at least three of the following within 90 days:
- NVDA closing 50% below all-time high
- SOXX down 40% from high
- OpenAI or Anthropic bankruptcy
- OpenAI acquired
- H100 rental price at $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days (SiliconData index)
- TSMC/ASML/Broadcom/Arista/SMCI down 50% from high
The post also notes Alabama is starting AI literacy in kindergarten.
Related event: Polymarket Bets AI Bubble Unlikely to Burst This Year(3 posts)→
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