Scaling01: The Breakthrough Came From Agent Swarms, Not the Model Alone; Single Models Need Generations
scaling01 · x · 2026-09-24
- Scaling01 argues a recent hard-task breakthrough was mostly enabled by agent swarms: the model is good, but the previous generation would have needed roughly a million parallel agents to pull it off.
- He predicts it will take several more model generations (past Astra) before a single model can solve problems of similar difficulty on its own.
- A replier notes this contradicts Noam Brown's stance on the Dwarkesh podcast, where Brown leaned toward "it's just a good model" and treated the swarm's value as an open question.
Related event: Debate: Do 10K-Agent Swarms Beat Next-Gen Model Gains?(3 posts)→
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