Toby Ord: Each AI Capability Tier Falls ~100-1000x in Cost While Quality Keeps Climbing
tobyordoxford · x · 2026-09-24
In a discussion involving Epoch AI, philosopher Toby Ord observes that each level of AI capability rapidly falls in cost, then flattens (even in %/month terms), ultimately dropping by roughly 100x to 1000x — while the quality offered at those levels keeps rising quickly.
Related event: Scholars Challenge Viral Chart Claiming 100,000x Drop in AI Prices(10 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- Investor: AI diffusion will be slowest in consumer software — Oura, Strava, Labcorp still have no real AI strategy — MartinGTobias · 2026-11-12
- On AI Progress: When Models Lag on Your Load-Bearing Skill, You Can't See Them Improving — dfrsrchtwts · 2026-11-12
- Slack's David Hoang: agents beat people on coordination, proposes 'boundary agents' — davidhoang · 2026-11-12
- CS student mourns coding flow states he'll never experience in the AI era — chrissyykat · 2026-11-12
- Ford's 370% Turnover Led to $5 Days — But ASI Never Quits — krishnan · 2026-11-12
- Against 'verifiable vs. fuzzy': the real axis is how expensive tasks are to grade — dfrsrchtwts · 2026-11-12