AI performance cost is falling ~13x per year, the fastest of any technology ever

kimmonismus · x · 2026-09-23

Citing Epoch AI, the cost of achieving a given level of AI performance is dropping roughly 13-fold per year — a 47% quarterly decline since 2023, faster than any other transformative technology in history. Example: OpenAI's o3 exceeded 25% on FrontierMath Tiers 1–3 at a reported cost of about $0.55. The author ties this to the aggressive pricing cuts seen with GPT-6 Sol and Luna.

Related event: Epoch AI: Cost of Equivalent AI Performance Falls 47% Per Quarter(13 posts)→

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