Nasdaq-100 EPS Growth Tops 50%, Challenging the AI Bubble Narrative

McDonaghMatthew · x · 2026-09-23

This post pushes back on the "AI is a bubble" take: Nasdaq-100 EPS growth just crossed 50%, surging faster than the post-GFC rebound and beating every expansion cycle of the past two decades, with revenue growth accelerating in parallel.

The argument: bubbles are built on multiple expansion and nonexistent earnings, but what's happening here is real cash-flow acceleration — evidence the AI supercycle is backed by fundamental profit growth, not speculation. The quoted context also notes Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline reopen bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, easing the geopolitical risk premium as macro conditions improve.

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