Agent router log: 8,458 escalations up, zero down — caching beat routing by 70%

mrtrly · reddit · 2026-09-22

The author built a model router to cut agent costs, then audited its behavior: across 59,299 requests (list price $5,085, median 4 cents), 8,458 escalated up and zero went down — potentially 30% of spend recoverable.

What actually saved money was caching: uncached list price would have been $16,980 vs $5,085 cached (70% off), and escalation breaks the cache at roughly 7x cost. Worst of all, 72% of coder spend ($3,218) went to canceled tasks; one "fix broken tests" task ran 76 attempts, burning $940, with the deepest autofix chain reaching 19 levels.

His takeaway: when your default model is already cheap, a router is a quality dial, not a savings dial — cost per shipped item matters, cost per request is vanity. The logging proxy is open source.

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