Economists call for wider-band evidence on AI's economic impact now

robseamans · x · 2026-09-21

Economist Alex Olegimas argues that while clean causal identification (instruments, parallel trends) remains essential for top-journal AI economics research, it can take decades to produce. Given AI's pace, the field also needs immediate signals now—even estimates with wider confidence bands. A retweeter with years of Federal/State policy experience agrees, noting broad-band answers have real policy value.

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