Economist skeptical of AI-jobs paper: pre-trends messy, timing doesn't fit

David_E_Simon · x · 2026-09-21

Asked whether he endorses the paper's methodology, economist DavidESimon says a quick look leaves him fairly skeptical, consistent with earlier papers on the topic: pre-trends in the employment-to-population ratio look all over the place, and the effects don't align with when AI would realistically affect jobs — though he stresses it was only a first pass.

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