Economist skeptical of AI-jobs paper: pre-trends messy, timing doesn't fit
David_E_Simon · x · 2026-09-21
Asked whether he endorses the paper's methodology, economist DavidESimon says a quick look leaves him fairly skeptical, consistent with earlier papers on the topic: pre-trends in the employment-to-population ratio look all over the place, and the effects don't align with when AI would realistically affect jobs — though he stresses it was only a first pass.
More from AGI Musings
- Why Is Inkling 2 Small Trained on So Few Tokens Yet Still Competitive? — georgejrjrjr · 2026-11-12
- Researcher willing to bet $100K the intelligence explosion won't happen next year — NathanpmYoung · 2026-11-12
- ICLR reviewer: the worst parts of my job are reading and answering AI slop — chhaviyadav_ · 2026-11-12
- Agent Swarms Are Autonomously Hacking Critical Infrastructure Run by Underpaid Devs — menhguin · 2026-11-12
- Fermi paradox twist: advanced civilizations may go digital after developing AI — VraserX · 2026-11-12
- Mark Cuban: AI could make healthcare costs 'drop like a rock' — alvelda · 2026-11-12