binarybits: only the military scenario holds in the AI explosion debate
binarybits · x · 2026-09-21
- binarybits responds to Toby Ord and Ryan Greenblatt: he agrees scenario 3 (a military-capacity explosion) is a real possibility, but argues scenarios 1 and 2 hinge on the assumption that compute/energy feed some final consumer goods (maybe not yet invented) with near-infinite demand — which he finds unlikely.
Related event: binarybits challenges infinite compute demand argument for AI explosion(2 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- Stanford professor plans AI-assisted peer reviews of 5-6 papers monthly — anshulkundaje · 2026-09-21
- Researchers ask: why is there no AI-first scientific journal with AI-run peer review? — anshulkundaje · 2026-09-21
- iamtrask: AI could reverse the centralization of art away from local creators — iamtrask · 2026-09-21
- Waypoint Bio argues AI in biology has a data problem before a model problem — anshulkundaje · 2026-09-21
- New paper estimates LLMs raised US natural unemployment rate by 0.1-0.2 points — mattbeane · 2026-09-21
- iamtrask says AI is heading the wrong way, pushes a pro-artist direction — iamtrask · 2026-09-21