Hinton warns Congress has 'maybe a year' to regulate AI as Polymarket odds for US safety bill sit at 11%

Polymarket · x · 2026-09-18

Nobel laureate and deep learning pioneer Geoffrey Hinton told Congress the window to regulate AI may be only about a year before the technology becomes uncontrollable.

On Polymarket, the contract for a US AI safety bill passing before 2027 trades at just 11% odds, with about $130,854 in volume. The market defines an eligible bill as federal law containing provisions like bans on releasing specific AI systems, training or usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements. Congressional inaction on comprehensive AI safety legislation has kept trader odds firmly against enactment, even as multiple bipartisan proposals advanced through the House Science Committee in June 2026.

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Hinton warns Congress has 'maybe a year' to regulate AI as Polymarket odds for US safety bill sit at 11%

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