Polymarket puts 11% odds on US passing an AI safety bill by end of year
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-18
On Polymarket, the contract "US enacts AI safety bill before 2027" is trading at just 11% odds, with about $130K in volume.
- Resolution requires a federal bill with at least one provision: banning creation/release of specific models, training restrictions (data access or parameter caps), usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements
- Context: bipartisan measures like the FRONTIER Act and incident-reporting requirements advanced through committees in summer 2026 but never reached floor votes
- The post also cites an unverified report that security researchers used Anthropic's Claude to break into an OpenAI employee's ChatGPT account
Related event: Polymarket bets US AI safety bill unlikely before 2027(3 posts)→
More from Safety
- Binance breach criticized: DPRK fake-recruiter malware tactics were publicly documented for years — AccBalanced · 2026-11-04
- OffsecCyber dataset combines HackerOne reports and CVEs to train pentesting LLMs — AccBalanced · 2026-11-04
- Abliterated GLM-5.3 pulls off red-team exploit in 3:41 for $0.02, stock model refuses — bratton · 2026-11-04
- AI industry bet on both parties: $55M+ spent this election cycle via dual PACs — ChrisGPT · 2026-11-04
- Valid tokens, allowed actions, zero intent checks: the agent security gap nobody solves — Cytersmyz · 2026-11-04
- Princeton paper: harsher penalties can make AI auditors inspect less — Few-Decision6287 · 2026-11-04