Most rationalists have rightly slashed P(doom by 2030), but some haven't
repligate · x · 2026-09-18
Quoting mattparlmer: a good rationalist should have dramatically lowered their P(doom by 2030) given years of transformer capability growth — and most have. Sadly some haven't updated, and they aren't doing well emotionally. A window into the rift and psychological toll within the AI doomer community.
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