Polymarket prices 15% odds OpenAI announces AGI by 2026, as NYT flags paywall hacking
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-18
Polymarket's market on whether OpenAI announces AGI before 2027 trades at just 15% Yes ($258K volume), resolving only on official announcements. Context: the GPT-6 Astra launch, Greg Brockman's "AGI era" remarks, and Jensen Huang declaring AGI arrived on ARC-AGI-3 and FrontierMath results — yet OpenAI framed Astra as an early step, and DeepMind's Shane Legg called such declarations premature. The post also cites NYT reporting that OpenAI used deceptive methods to access paywalled content, with Brockman replying "ah nice" to an employee's paywall hack description.
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