Polymarket odds: 57% chance AI solves the Hodge Conjecture next, P vs NP under 1%
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-18
Polymarket's market on which Millennium Prize Problem AI will solve next shows the Hodge Conjecture leading at 57%, followed by Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer at 21%, "no solution by end of 2027" at 19%, while P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills all sit under 1%. Total volume is roughly $141K. The surge follows reports that OpenAI is close to solving another Millennium problem. Resolution requires an eligible AI lab to announce a solution before Dec 31, 2027.
Related event: Polymarket Odds: 57% Chance AI Solves the Hodge Conjecture(3 posts)→
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